Monday, 6 April 2015

NITIN FIRE PROTECTION - Value Pick Multibagger

Nitin Fire Protection

Background

-Promoted by Nitin Shah manufacturing Fire extinguishers and fire fighting equipments

-Existence in fire protection space since 29 years, have expanded foot hold not only in India but also in United Arab Emirates, South Asia & Europe.

-NFPIL is associated with Beijing Tianhai Industry Company Ltd. (B.T.I.C), China for contract manufacturing of High Pressure Seamless Cylinders for Industrial Gases(BTIC got manufacturing capacity of 1.5 million  cylinders per Annum ) 

-Diversification in CNG by forming Nitin Cylinders Ltd., Manufacturer’s of High Pressure Seamless Cylinders, having manufacturing facility at Vishakapatnam SEZ, Andhra Pradesh and Divestment joint venture with Worthingtion Industries limited 

-Acquired 40% stake in a Dubai based fire protection company ‘NEW AGE COMPANY – LLC’ 


Major Clients
INOX Air Products, Indraprastha Gas Limited (IGL), BOC, Praxair, Air Liquide etc.


Positives

-large scale fire protection system installation  across india (5000 direct and 20000 indirect)

-Revenue increase by 44% post Middle East venture

- Factors contributing growth 
A) Increasing awareness through media for protection from fire 
B) Threat of heavy losses due to fire 
C)Strict rules by Governement for fire protection

-55% of revenue comes from UAE 
world expo 2020 will be held in UAE will push the growth further in this market.

Negatives

-Despite a lot of media,ignorance is still there among small and medium companies and cooperative residential societies which hinders it's growth 

Conclusion

At Cmp 36.5,it's superbly attractive !!a definite buy!!


Sunday, 5 April 2015

Nikhil Adhesives - WoW Value Pick

 NIKHIL ADHESIVES 

Background 

-Manufacturing various types of polymer emulsions that are used for different applications. 

-In this business for over 28 years and has three manufacturing units located at Dahanu (Maharashtra), Silvassa(Gujarat) and at Dahej(Gujarat). 

-The current production capacity is 60000T p.a. which can be enhanced. 

-Acquired the emulsion business of Mafatlal Dyes & Chemicals Ltd. in 2003 and its products are sold under the brand name Mahacol,Emditex, Emdilith, Emdicryl

Positives/Strengths

-Strengthened Brand Image resulting in sales growth of 26%

-Addition of capacity at Dahej plant lead Production capacity increase by 13%

-Backward integration by manufacturing Plasticizers important ingredient of emulsions

-Dividend payout is at 32.5% which is very satisfactory.

Negatives/Risks

- Fluctuating Foreign Exchange lead to loss due to import of raw material

-Slow pace of growth in Construction Sector 

-Increase in the cost of Vinyl acetate monomer important raw material for manufacturing emulsions.

Conclusion

Highly recommended at current market price of 33.5














Saturday, 4 April 2015

Munjal Auto Industries Ltd- a multi-bagger Value Pick to bet on


Background 

-Munjal Auto Industries Ltd., (MAIL) promoted by Munjals(Hero group) is a TS 16949 and ISO 14001 accredited, leading auto component manufacturing company in India producing Exhaust systems complete for two wheelers and four wheelers, Spoke rims for two wheelers, Steel Wheel Rims for Two Wheelers and Four Wheelers, Fuel Tanks for Four wheelers, Seat Frames for four wheelers and other automotive assemblies.

-Technical collaboration with Samsung Industries Ltd. of Korea for the manufacture of Fuel Tanks for Four Wheelers. 

-The largest manufacturer of the exhaust systems in the world, manufacturing close to 22,000 systems per day. Besides the company produces more than 10,000 spoke rims for motorcycles and steel wheel rims every day.

Major Clients
Tata Motors limited
Tata Johnson Controls Automative Limited
Piaggio Vehicles
General Motors India
Hero Motocorp limited
Suzlon

Risks/Threats

-Hero Motors contributes maximum to the revenue,one customer concentration

-Fuel price increase has an adverse impact in automobile industry,it's a concurrent feature in india barring last 10 months when internationally oil is down.

-Environment Regulations

-Increase in the price of raw materials — nickel, paints, steel, etc.

-Fierce competition from organised and unorganised players in the auto ancillary sector.

Positives

-Strong Experienced Management support 

-continuous research and development 

-very wide product range which includes both for two wheeler and four wheeler.

-largest exhaust systems manufacturer

-Healthy dividend payout

-Good free Cash Flows

-debt is reduced 

RECOMMENDATION

At current market price of 75,the company looks really attractive and under valued.Its highly recommended at this price.


Friday, 3 April 2015

Sunil Hi Tech Engineers Limited - Growing Value Company

SUNIL HITECH ENGINEERS LIMITED

Background
Sunil Hitech was incorporated on 29th May 1998. 

Engaged in the niche segment of Fabrication, Erection & Testing and Commissioning of 

Bunkers, ESPs, Boilers, TG sets in the Power Plants, both in Private & Public sector.


Habit of Fast track Completion of Projects(Ironic for Indian Companies)

Few examples 

Fast track construction of 500 MW, 7th unit at Chandrapur, Completed 8500 MT of Power House Structures in 18 months against 24 months schedule.

Fast track construction JPL’s 2x250MW, Raigad Project and completed TG area structural works with an achievement of 13200MT of Fabrication & 11500MT of erection in a year.

U-2 Chandrapur STPS Completed Reheater replacement within the scheduled time of 25 days & complete total replacement of Condenser Tubes in a record time of 35 days

Completed total replacement of LTSH, Economiser Coils, HRH including Hangers, terminal 
and supply tubes replacement was done in a span of 25 days involving 5400 HP Joint 
at Tuticorin TNEB.




CLIENT LIST
The Company’s customer portfolio comprises reputed names like the NTPC, Chhattisgarh State Power Generation, BHEL, BALCO, Reliance Energy, Jaypee Group, JSW Steel, Punj Lloyd, Tata Projects, Adani Power, L&T, RINL, Mahadiscom, Hindalco, Dodson-Lindblom, Maharashtra State Transmission, Tamil Nadu Electricity Board, Skoda Exports, Punjab PWD, Gujarat State Electricity Corporation

Positives

Revenue CAGR of 15.32% over the past five years 

Strong EBIDTA CAGR of 7.30% over the past five years 

Net profit CAGR of 2.51% over the past five years Consistent dividend payout; cumulative dividend distribution of 5.65 crore over past 5 years

Negatives

Debt is over 380 crores

Recommendation

Highly recommended at current market price of Rs 150 .



Tuesday, 31 March 2015

Waterbase limited- a promising Value Pick multibagger

Waterbase Limited- a promising multi bagger

Another Avanti Feeds in Making!!


Based in Nellore, Andhra Pradesh


Background 


-Waterbase Ltd was the first to introduce Feed for the Vannamei Species in India and today has a very dominant share of the Vannamei Species feed Market. 

-The Company has a well established distribution network and is well respected for its Technical excellence.
-The Company today is working to full capacity in its feed mill and has invested in additional
Machinery to enhance its capacity to meet the demands. Presently Vannamei species has been
extensively introduced in Andhra Pradesh and it is expected that once infrastructure is in place
it will be introduced in the other states of Orissa, Tamil Nadu, West Bengal, Gujarat and
Maharashtra.

-The reduction in the Anti-dumping duty by United States and decreasing exports from other South East Asian countries especially Thailand helped to increase the exports of Shrimps from India. The overall industry's Shrimp Export grew by about 33.50% over the previous year.

Threats / Risks and concerns 

-An unfavourable monsoon would lead to increased input costs like feed and in turn may affect the growth of shrmp farmers. Delayed monsoon has affected power generation in Andhra Pradesh, which is one of the major producers of Vannamei shrimps. 

- The price of Raw Materials like Soya, Fish meal, Wheat etc have risen to record highs which continue to be of concern to the industry. 

-Disease has devastated the shrimp industry in Thailand, Vietnam, China and Malaysia over the last few years. India has been free of disease but like all living technologies, this continues to be a threat.


Performance of the Company
The company has performed well over the last year. The Turnover has increased by 45% and the profit before tax increased by 169%.

Positives


Company has reduced debt from 25.11 crores to 11.85 crores nearly halved it.


Promoter's stake has increased


Net Profit after tax increased from 13.57 to 18.01 crores


Negatives


Company is not paying dividends despite with increased profits.


Conclusion

At the CMP of 49.5 rs and a market cap of around 190cr, this is a great level to enter the stock for medium to long term.It is for high risk investors.